Cals Refineries is a BUY
Quick Take
At least a 10 bagger in 3 years
Details
Cals Refineries is establishing a 4.8 MMTPA (100,000 BPD) refinery at Haldia, India to be operational by July 2011 in phase I and another 4.8 MMTPA (100,000 BPD) by July 2012 taking the total capacity to 9.6 MMTPA (200,000 BPD) by July 2012
Yearly Refining Capacity Comparison with other existing refineries:
- Reliance Industries (33 million tonne)
- Essar Oil (7.5 million tonne)
- Reliance Petroleum setting up 29 million tonne
- MRPL (10.5 million tonnes)
- Chennai Petroleum (9.5 million tonnes)
- Bongaigaon Refinery (2 million tonnes)
Fundamentally Strong – Solid Management
Chairman of Cals Refineries, Mr. M.S. Ramachandran, was Chairman of Indian Oil Corporation (I.O.C.), India’s largest Oil & Gas company. Mr. M. S. Ramachandran has over 38 years of experience in the Oil and Gas industry. He was Chairman of Indian Oil Corporation (I.O.C.), India’s largest Oil & Gas company. He helped the government to implement various policies that would attract private players into the Oil & Gas sector. At I.O.C., he redirected the organization around key business lines with greater commercial focus and market facing capabilities. During his tenure, Mr. Ramachandran increased sales growth from USD 25 Billion to USD 34 Billion, which increased the net profit of company from USD 0.65 Billion to USD 1.2 Billion, raising the company’s Fortune ranking from 223 to 189.
Supply of Crude Guarenteed
Cals Refineries Ltd has signed a deal with oil major BP for up to 5 million tonnes of crude a year for a refinery. So the supply of crude is already guarenteed.
Upstream Integration
Spice Energy, the parent company of CALS has another subsidiary, Spice Exploration, which has operations in Africa and Indonesia from where crude could be made available.
Customers for finished products ready
Cals Refineries has signed a deal with oil major BP to buy up to 100,000 bpd crude for its refinery. As per the deal, 60,000 bpd is confirmed, the balance of 40,000 is optional.
Additionally, Cals Refineries Ltd has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) for petro products off-take from CALS. The MoU has been signed in order to off-take the part of petroleum products by BPCL from CALS in its first phase which is a 100,000 BPSD crude oil refinery after accounting for the products committed to British Petroleum (BP) and the entire petro products from CALS in the second phase of expansion which is another 100,000 BPSD refinery at Haldia, West Bengal
Assembling instead of building
For the first phase CALS has bought a standing refinery in Germany in 2007, which will be disassebled and brought to India and constructed again.
For the second phase, Cals Refineries is buying a second-hand refinery from Canada.
Summary
Overall, a strong contender to be in your portfolio and mine too. Buy Cals Refineries and add more on declines.
Disclaimer:- Stock Market Baba’s opinions are based on his understanding of stocks and market movements. He does not take responsibility of your financial gain or loss and other outcomes based on following his gyaan. You need to consult a professional wealth manager/financial analyst before putting your hard earned money into any stock.
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July 1st, 2009 at 10:49 am
Dear Baba,
Nice to see your website. Probably this is the first comment on your site. On Cals, I must say your analysis is good. But also please note the risk involved, which you must be knowing since the promoter’s share is very less. Anyway keep in touch. And find more multibaggers.
Regards,
Azmath
July 1st, 2009 at 11:59 am
@azmath, thanks for the comments. You made a valid point on promoter stake in Cals refineries as far as Spice Energy’s stake is concerned. However, the promoters of Spice, through GDR, have 75% stake in Cals. Details of the same are available at the following link
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2009/01/30/stories/2009013051392300.htm
Baba saw that your blog is fairly new, all the best for the same. Baba’s site is still in prelaunch phase, and you had a sneak preview
July 2nd, 2009 at 9:09 am
@Baba Thanks for that news article. I have included it on my notebook on Cals. You can see it in http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09273340875173464640/BDRDfDAoQ9NP5tJgk . Keep in touch we can research together to find more multibaggers like Cals.
Contact me through mail azmath.rahiman@gmail.com
Regards,
Azmath
July 28th, 2009 at 3:10 am
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July 31st, 2009 at 5:05 am
[...] Cals Refineries is a BUY [...]
September 15th, 2009 at 2:16 am
hi baba ,
i want to know wat would b target of cals and also tell the time frame….
Regards,
Gaurav
October 4th, 2009 at 5:46 am
cals could go upto 5 rupees in an year’s time if the market remains in an uptrend. Having said that, cals is highly subjected to market direction and carries a high degree of risk
October 10th, 2009 at 12:01 pm
I agree with you this stock could turn fortunes, also the risk is limited (i hope so)
October 21st, 2009 at 2:48 pm
Baba, I have 5,000 shares in Cals, what would be the target in 3 years time frame if everything goes well. Thanks.
October 27th, 2009 at 5:50 am
babaji , i thick cals is second ril company in india , cals prise is in 2010 surely touch 10.00 rs.
October 31st, 2009 at 1:57 am
@Prabhu – The price in 3 years should certainly be more than 8 Rs
October 31st, 2009 at 1:58 am
@Chirag, 2010 is very close, I suspect anything between 3 and 5 Rs by the end of 2010 will be good.
December 7th, 2009 at 9:24 pm
kishore, do anyone know the status of work done in haldia.
December 29th, 2009 at 3:48 am
whats price target of cals refi.
January 6th, 2010 at 5:02 am
hey baba u have taken good initiative but y dont u update ur site regularly
June 23rd, 2010 at 12:10 am
cals was a nightmare…tnx god i didnt purchased